Climate Risk Assessment under Uncertainty: An Application to Main European Coastal Cities
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چکیده
منابع مشابه
Climate Risk Assessment under Uncertainty: An Application to Main European Coastal Cities
This paper analyses the risk of extreme coastal events in major European coastal cities using a stochastic diffusionmodel that is calibrated with the worst case emission scenario from the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC), i.e., the representative concentration pathway (RCP) 8.5. The model incorporates uncertainty in the sea-level rise (SLR) distribution. Expected mean annual lo...
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In the originally published article, the first line of the sub-section “Future Projections of Sea-Level Rise at City Level” in page 2 says: “Global sea-level has risen by more than 20 cm since 1980 (Hardy and Nuse, 2016) and the rate of SLR during the twentieth century is estimated to have been 1.7 ± 0.3 mm year−1 (Church and White, 2006, p. 2).” The reference year of global sea-level rise shou...
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Decision analysis applied to petroleum field development is always strongly related to risk due to the uncertainties present in the process. Methodologies to quantify the impact of uncertainties are still not well established due to the amount of variables that have to be considered. The complete analysis usually depends on geological, economical and technological uncertainties that have differ...
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We apply four alternative decision criteria, two old ones and two new, to the question of the appropriate level of greenhouse gas emission reduction. In all cases, we consider a uniform carbon tax that is applied to all emissions from all sectors and all countries; and that increases over time with the discount rate. For a one per cent pure rate of the time preference and a rate of risk aversio...
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It is recognised that there is a need for a proper treatment and transparency of uncertainty in risk assessment and management, especially in view of the upcoming proposed new chemical policy REACH, which delegates the responsibility for conducting risk assessments to industry. The current EU risk assessment for new and existing substances is largely deterministic and prudential measures are im...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Frontiers in Marine Science
سال: 2016
ISSN: 2296-7745
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2016.00265